Trade Setups for Monday
Playbook
•
July 6, 2025
Trade Setups for Monday
Playbook
•
July 6, 2025


As we move into Monday's session, we've dissected four key futures charts through a quant lens, combining structure, order flow zones, and Fibonacci confluence to map potential trade paths. Below is a detailed breakdown of each setup: GC, MES, MNQ, and ZB.
1. Gold Futures (GC1!)
Bias: 55% Bearish / 45% Bullish
Current Structure: Price is wedged between a descending resistance trendline and a rising trendline, with compression forming above a support zone.

Insight:
Price is sitting just above equilibrium (Fib midline from the last impulse).
Recent rejections from the 78.6% OTE retracement + trendline resistance confirm bearish pressure.
The support zone around 3340 is being tested repeatedly, indicating potential absorption.
Bearish Setup:
Entry: < 3340
TP1: 3320 (Profit Scale alignment)
TP2: 3268 (Symmetrical Extension)
SL: > 3356
Bullish Setup:
Entry: > 3360
TP1: 3384
TP2: 3400
SL: < 3340
Summary: Gold remains coiled. A break and close below 3340 puts pressure on the downside with a strong confluence for targets; however, reclaiming 3360 flips the script quickly.
2. Micro S&P Futures (MES1!)
Bias: 60% Bullish / 40% Bearish
Current Structure: Price consolidates just above rising trendline support with clear unfilled FVGs above.

Insight:
Price is sitting in the 62%–70% Fib retracement pocket of the last leg up.
Volume is declining into support, which often precedes an impulsive breakout.
Unfilled FVGs above align with symmetry-based targets.
Bullish Setup:
Entry: > 6,296
TP1: 6,322 (FVG top + structural high)
TP2: 6,334 (Trendline extension zone)
SL: < 6,277
Bearish Setup:
Entry: < 6,277
TP1: 6,255
TP2: 6,235
SL: > 6,296
Summary: MES is grinding above trendline support and inside a bullish retracement zone. Unless 6,277 breaks with volume, upside targets remain in play.
3. Micro Nasdaq Futures (MNQ1!)
Bias: 55% Bullish / 45% Bearish
Current Structure: Balanced range holding a demand zone just under a fair value gap.

Insight:
Price consolidates right at the Fib golden zone (61.8%-78.6%).
Strong bullish candle reaction from support; EMAs compressing for a breakout.
Symmetrical target and profit scale align near 23,080.
Bullish Setup:
Entry: > 22,936
TP1: 23,000
TP2: 23,080
SL: < 22,900
Bearish Setup:
Entry: < 22,845
TP1: 22,780
TP2: 22,700
SL: > 22,936
Summary: MNQ is coiled for a move, with unfilled imbalance overhead and strong support below. A range break will dictate Monday’s directional bias.
4. 30-Year Treasury Bonds (ZB1!)
Bias: 65% Bearish / 35% Bullish
Current Structure: Clean descending structure with a series of lower highs and heavy rejections from supply.

Insight:
Price is repeatedly testing demand but with lower bounces.
78.6% OTE rejection aligns with descending trendline.
Below both short- and mid-term EMAs.
Bearish Setup:
Entry: < 114.05
TP1: 113.60
TP2: 113.00
SL: > 114.35
Bullish Setup:
Entry: > 114.35
TP1: 114.92
TP2: 115.20
SL: < 114.05
Summary: ZB is favouring a breakdown with pressure building and clean downside symmetry. Bulls need to clear 114.35 to even attempt a shift.
Final Note:
Each setup above blends price action, structure, and Fibonacci logic to provide clear trade plans. Stay mechanical, respect your invalidation levels, and don’t force trades into chop.
Let Monday come to you.
Disclaimer
Staakd and its content are strictly for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not financial advisors, brokers, or licensed investment professionals. All content published on this website, including blog posts, trade setups, charts, commentary, and visual media, reflects our own opinions and market analysis. It should not be interpreted as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Trading futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves significant risk and is not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your level of experience, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before engaging in any trading activity. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Staakd is not liable for any loss or damage arising directly or indirectly from reliance on any information provided on this site or in associated content. Past performance does not guarantee future results. By using this site, you acknowledge and agree to this disclaimer in full.
1. Gold Futures (GC1!)
Bias: 55% Bearish / 45% Bullish
Current Structure: Price is wedged between a descending resistance trendline and a rising trendline, with compression forming above a support zone.

Insight:
Price is sitting just above equilibrium (Fib midline from the last impulse).
Recent rejections from the 78.6% OTE retracement + trendline resistance confirm bearish pressure.
The support zone around 3340 is being tested repeatedly, indicating potential absorption.
Bearish Setup:
Entry: < 3340
TP1: 3320 (Profit Scale alignment)
TP2: 3268 (Symmetrical Extension)
SL: > 3356
Bullish Setup:
Entry: > 3360
TP1: 3384
TP2: 3400
SL: < 3340
Summary: Gold remains coiled. A break and close below 3340 puts pressure on the downside with a strong confluence for targets; however, reclaiming 3360 flips the script quickly.
2. Micro S&P Futures (MES1!)
Bias: 60% Bullish / 40% Bearish
Current Structure: Price consolidates just above rising trendline support with clear unfilled FVGs above.

Insight:
Price is sitting in the 62%–70% Fib retracement pocket of the last leg up.
Volume is declining into support, which often precedes an impulsive breakout.
Unfilled FVGs above align with symmetry-based targets.
Bullish Setup:
Entry: > 6,296
TP1: 6,322 (FVG top + structural high)
TP2: 6,334 (Trendline extension zone)
SL: < 6,277
Bearish Setup:
Entry: < 6,277
TP1: 6,255
TP2: 6,235
SL: > 6,296
Summary: MES is grinding above trendline support and inside a bullish retracement zone. Unless 6,277 breaks with volume, upside targets remain in play.
3. Micro Nasdaq Futures (MNQ1!)
Bias: 55% Bullish / 45% Bearish
Current Structure: Balanced range holding a demand zone just under a fair value gap.

Insight:
Price consolidates right at the Fib golden zone (61.8%-78.6%).
Strong bullish candle reaction from support; EMAs compressing for a breakout.
Symmetrical target and profit scale align near 23,080.
Bullish Setup:
Entry: > 22,936
TP1: 23,000
TP2: 23,080
SL: < 22,900
Bearish Setup:
Entry: < 22,845
TP1: 22,780
TP2: 22,700
SL: > 22,936
Summary: MNQ is coiled for a move, with unfilled imbalance overhead and strong support below. A range break will dictate Monday’s directional bias.
4. 30-Year Treasury Bonds (ZB1!)
Bias: 65% Bearish / 35% Bullish
Current Structure: Clean descending structure with a series of lower highs and heavy rejections from supply.

Insight:
Price is repeatedly testing demand but with lower bounces.
78.6% OTE rejection aligns with descending trendline.
Below both short- and mid-term EMAs.
Bearish Setup:
Entry: < 114.05
TP1: 113.60
TP2: 113.00
SL: > 114.35
Bullish Setup:
Entry: > 114.35
TP1: 114.92
TP2: 115.20
SL: < 114.05
Summary: ZB is favouring a breakdown with pressure building and clean downside symmetry. Bulls need to clear 114.35 to even attempt a shift.
Final Note:
Each setup above blends price action, structure, and Fibonacci logic to provide clear trade plans. Stay mechanical, respect your invalidation levels, and don’t force trades into chop.
Let Monday come to you.
Disclaimer
Staakd and its content are strictly for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not financial advisors, brokers, or licensed investment professionals. All content published on this website, including blog posts, trade setups, charts, commentary, and visual media, reflects our own opinions and market analysis. It should not be interpreted as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Trading futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves significant risk and is not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your level of experience, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before engaging in any trading activity. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Staakd is not liable for any loss or damage arising directly or indirectly from reliance on any information provided on this site or in associated content. Past performance does not guarantee future results. By using this site, you acknowledge and agree to this disclaimer in full.
1. Gold Futures (GC1!)
Bias: 55% Bearish / 45% Bullish
Current Structure: Price is wedged between a descending resistance trendline and a rising trendline, with compression forming above a support zone.

Insight:
Price is sitting just above equilibrium (Fib midline from the last impulse).
Recent rejections from the 78.6% OTE retracement + trendline resistance confirm bearish pressure.
The support zone around 3340 is being tested repeatedly, indicating potential absorption.
Bearish Setup:
Entry: < 3340
TP1: 3320 (Profit Scale alignment)
TP2: 3268 (Symmetrical Extension)
SL: > 3356
Bullish Setup:
Entry: > 3360
TP1: 3384
TP2: 3400
SL: < 3340
Summary: Gold remains coiled. A break and close below 3340 puts pressure on the downside with a strong confluence for targets; however, reclaiming 3360 flips the script quickly.
2. Micro S&P Futures (MES1!)
Bias: 60% Bullish / 40% Bearish
Current Structure: Price consolidates just above rising trendline support with clear unfilled FVGs above.

Insight:
Price is sitting in the 62%–70% Fib retracement pocket of the last leg up.
Volume is declining into support, which often precedes an impulsive breakout.
Unfilled FVGs above align with symmetry-based targets.
Bullish Setup:
Entry: > 6,296
TP1: 6,322 (FVG top + structural high)
TP2: 6,334 (Trendline extension zone)
SL: < 6,277
Bearish Setup:
Entry: < 6,277
TP1: 6,255
TP2: 6,235
SL: > 6,296
Summary: MES is grinding above trendline support and inside a bullish retracement zone. Unless 6,277 breaks with volume, upside targets remain in play.
3. Micro Nasdaq Futures (MNQ1!)
Bias: 55% Bullish / 45% Bearish
Current Structure: Balanced range holding a demand zone just under a fair value gap.

Insight:
Price consolidates right at the Fib golden zone (61.8%-78.6%).
Strong bullish candle reaction from support; EMAs compressing for a breakout.
Symmetrical target and profit scale align near 23,080.
Bullish Setup:
Entry: > 22,936
TP1: 23,000
TP2: 23,080
SL: < 22,900
Bearish Setup:
Entry: < 22,845
TP1: 22,780
TP2: 22,700
SL: > 22,936
Summary: MNQ is coiled for a move, with unfilled imbalance overhead and strong support below. A range break will dictate Monday’s directional bias.
4. 30-Year Treasury Bonds (ZB1!)
Bias: 65% Bearish / 35% Bullish
Current Structure: Clean descending structure with a series of lower highs and heavy rejections from supply.

Insight:
Price is repeatedly testing demand but with lower bounces.
78.6% OTE rejection aligns with descending trendline.
Below both short- and mid-term EMAs.
Bearish Setup:
Entry: < 114.05
TP1: 113.60
TP2: 113.00
SL: > 114.35
Bullish Setup:
Entry: > 114.35
TP1: 114.92
TP2: 115.20
SL: < 114.05
Summary: ZB is favouring a breakdown with pressure building and clean downside symmetry. Bulls need to clear 114.35 to even attempt a shift.
Final Note:
Each setup above blends price action, structure, and Fibonacci logic to provide clear trade plans. Stay mechanical, respect your invalidation levels, and don’t force trades into chop.
Let Monday come to you.
Disclaimer
Staakd and its content are strictly for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not financial advisors, brokers, or licensed investment professionals. All content published on this website, including blog posts, trade setups, charts, commentary, and visual media, reflects our own opinions and market analysis. It should not be interpreted as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Trading futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves significant risk and is not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your level of experience, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before engaging in any trading activity. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Staakd is not liable for any loss or damage arising directly or indirectly from reliance on any information provided on this site or in associated content. Past performance does not guarantee future results. By using this site, you acknowledge and agree to this disclaimer in full.
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2025
Sign up for real trades. No noise

Built by traders. Run on proof.

© Staakd
2025
Sign up for real trades. No noise